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Fantasy Football Tip Sheet

Heading into Week 2

By Richard Harris
September 11, 2007
 
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Week 1 was brutal.  A boat-load of players were injured, and the majority of the games were mistake-filled, ugly affairs.   

On the injury front, the Giants were hit hard.  RB Brandon Jacobs suffered an MCL sprain and is likely to miss 3-4 weeks.  QB Eli Manning, who was in the midst of a spectacular game vs. Dallas, had to leave with a right (throwing) shoulder injury.  ESPN is reporting that Manning will miss at least a month, while the Giants say that the quarterback is “day-to-day.”  I watched Manning throw after he suffered the injury, and he put plenty of zip on the ball.  I think that he’ll be back in less than a month.   

The Giants appear to be in decent shape at running back with Derrick Ward and Reuben Droughns, but the passing game will suffer without Manning.  Backup QB Jared Lorenzen has thrown just three career passes and weighs 285 pounds.  If J-Load is under center, you should be leery of starting any Giant. 

The list of other players whose status is in doubt for Week 2 includes QB Chad Pennington (ankle), RB T.J. Duckett (ankle), RB Chester Taylor (hip), RB Carnell Williams (ribs), and WR Greg Jennings (hamstring). 

The Jags are uncertain how long K Josh Scobee (quad) will be out, and they have signed veteran John Carney as a replacement.   

Chiefs WR Eddie Kennison will miss at least a week with a hamstring strain.  After watching QB Damon Huard play against Houston, I can’t recommend running out and grabbing the other KC wideouts, Samie Parker or rookie Dwayne Bowe.   

Seattle No. 2 WR D.J Hackett is expected to miss at least a couple of weeks due to a high ankle sprain, and his replacement, Nate Burleson might be worth a drop/add.   

Of course, the worst injury of all was to Bills backup TE Kevin Everett, who suffered a life-threatening spinal cord injury and may never walk again.  My best wishes go out to Kevin, his family and his friends. 

The Everett news has little fantasy value, but it does put the game in perspective.  I couldn’t help but think of it on Monday night when I saw San Francisco WR Darrell Jackson short-arm a potential catch to avoid getting smacked while going over the middle.  If you recall, Jackson was a rather sure-handed receiver when he came into the league, but after he nearly died from a hit from Dallas safety Darren Woodson in 2002, he has been among the league leaders in drops.  Considering what happened to Everett, you have to have more sympathy and understanding for Jackson.   

Now, let’s take a look at the status of the market.

STOCK RISING

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QB Tony Romo (Dallas) – And you wondered why we had him ranked so high in the preseason.

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WR Randy Moss (New England) – Damn it, I hate it when I am wrong.  It looks like flaky Randy will work out in New England. 

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RB Adrian Peterson (Minnesota) – Peterson owners got a huge break when Chester Taylor went down, and the rookie showed off his impressive skills.

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RB Marshawn Lynch (Buffalo) – Lynch performed well against a solid Denver defense.  He and Peterson might fight it out all season for the Rookie of the Year award. 

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RB Clinton Portis (Washington) – Too many owners forgot on draft day that C-Po is only 26. 

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RB LaMont Jordan (Oakland) – What a difference a coaching staff change can make.  Jordan looked like the multi-purpose weapon who put up huge numbers in 2005. 

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TE Jason Witten (Dallas) – Witten should put up nice numbers until Terry Glenn comes back – if he comes back. 

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QB Ben Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh) – Big Ben is healthy and has a favorable schedule for throwing the football. 

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RB Tatum Bell (Detroit) – T.J. Duckett is hurt and fellow RB Kevin Jones (foot) is likely a couple of weeks away from returning. 

STOCK FALLING

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WR Deion Branch (Seattle) – Thanks, Deion.  I caught as many balls as you did on Sunday.  I’m sure that Branch will bounce back to post decent numbers, but he’s not really a No. 1 receiver. 

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WR Donte’ Stallworth (New England) – There are not enough balls to go around in New England. 

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WR Anthony Gonzalez (Indianapolis) – He didn’t see much playing time in the opener, but he would be very valuable if either Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, or Dallas Clark went down. 

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WR Dwayne Jarrett (Carolina) – At least Gonzalez was on the active list. 

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K Justin Medlock (Kansas City) – You’re not at UCLA anymore – the Chiefs have signed former Packer kicker Dave Rayner. 

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WR Matt Jones (Jacksonville) – Jones didn’t start, dropped a pass in the end zone, and finished with the same number of catches as Reggie Williams, who was on the inactive list. 

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RB Brandon Jackson (Green Bay) – If the rookie continues like this, Vernand Morency (knee) will get a shot when he’s healthy.

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RB Warrick Dunn (Atlanta) – Backup Jerious Norwood averaged 4.1 more yards per carry than Dunn. 

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RB Jamal Lewis (Cleveland) – So much for the slimmed-down Lewis adding life to the Browns’ running game. 

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QB Steve McNair (Baltimore) – Was it me, or did McNair suck even before he injured his groin?  The Ravens would do better with Kyle Boller starting. 

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WR Mark Clayton (Baltimore) – Hobbled by an ankle injury, Demetrious Williams started in Clayton’s place.  I’m not as worried about the ankle as I am the QB situation in Baltimore. 

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RB Cedric Benson (Chicago) – Yes, he faced a tough San Diego defense, but grab backup Adrian Peterson just in case. 

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RB Laurence Maroney (New England) – Backup Sammy Morris is getting a lot of carries – you might want to add him as insurance behind Maroney. 

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Chicago Defense – Remember how the Bears defense slipped when safety Mike Brown went down in 2005 and in 2006?  Well, he’s out again – for the year!

BEAR MARKET

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WR Ronald Curry (Oakland) – This just in – Curry looks like Josh McCown’s favorite target. 

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WR Antwaan Randle El (Washington) – When RT Jon Jansen suffered a season-ending injury against the Dolphins, TE Chris Cooley was used more as a blocker to help with pass protection, and Randle El became Jason Campbell’s security blanket. 

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RB Derrick Ward (NY Giants) – Ward, not Reuben Droughns, is the No. 2 back behind Brandon Jacobs, and his 116 total yards and his 6.8-yards-per-carry average against Dallas will not hurt his job security. 

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QB Jay Cutler (Denver) – It was the shakiest 300 yards this side of McCown, but at least we know that the Broncos are not afraid to throw the ball. 

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WR Brandon Marshall (Denver) – Marshall had a nice start as Rod Smith’s replacement. 

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K Mason Crosby (Green Bay) – It was a sweet debut for the rookie.  He went 3-for-3 on field goals, including a 53-yarder and a game winner from 42 yards out. 

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Indianapolis Defense – I thought the Colts would be lucky to hold the Saints under 30.  No offensive touchdowns was unbelievable. 

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RB Kenton Keith (Indianapolis) – Did your heart skip a few beats when Joseph Addai went down on the first play of the season?  Do yourself and your family a favor – pick up Keith or upgrade your life insurance. 

IDP ALERT

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LB Kirk Morrison (Oakland) – An underrated performer who quietly puts up big numbers.

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LB E.J. Henderson (Minnesota) – It appears that moving back to the middle will not hurt his production.

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LB Rocky McIntosh (Washington) – In three career starts, this kid has averaged 10 tackles per game. 

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LB Barrett Rudd (Tampa Bay) – Rudd had a huge Week 1, while Jeremiah Trotter was on the inactive list. 

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DE Mario Williams (Houston) – After a disappointing rookie season, the former No. 1 pick started to earn his money against the Chiefs. 

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DT Mike Patterson (Philadelphia) – Patterson racks up a lot of tackles for a DT. 

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LB Takeo Spikes (Philadelphia) – The former Pro Bowler appears to be back to his old form. 

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S Atari Bigby (Green Bay) – It appears that the Packers have solved their problems at strong safety. 

STOCK MAY NEVER BE HIGHER

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RB Chris Brown (Tennessee) – Brown has always been productive when he has been healthy, and he was fortunate enough in Week 1 to face a Jacksonville defense that wore down and wilted in the heat.  It’s hard to imagine Brown staying healthy all season unless he continues to share the workload with LenDale White, and sharing the workload usually leads to mediocre numbers. 

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WR Plaxico Burress (NY Giants) – I doubt that the “Hefty Lefty” will find Burress for three scores every week. 

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QB Josh McCown (Oakland) – If you watched this game, you had to be shocked by McCown’s final numbers.  He was so shaky in the first half that I was certain that he would be pulled at halftime for Daunte Culpepper.  It’s McCown’s job for now, but don’t be surprised if he’s benched in a few weeks. 

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WR Drew Carter (Carolina) – Coming off the bench, Carter caught two TD passes, but he had a total of just three receptions for 19 yards.  Are you really going to start the Panthers’ No. 3 WR? 

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WR Shaun McDonald (Detroit) – McDonald followed up an excellent preseason with a nice Week 1, but there are too many receiving options in Detroit for this No. 4 receiver to produce consistent numbers. 

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TE Eric Johnson (New Orleans) – The Saints aren’t going to win many ball games by dumping the ball off to Johnson for 5-yard gains. 

STOCK MAY NEVER BE LOWER

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QB Donovan McNabb (Philadelphia) – Give him some time.  Six months ago, we weren’t even sure that he’d be playing at this point of the season. 

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QB Vince Young (Tennessee) – Chris Brown and LenDale White won’t rush for more than 200 yards every week. 

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QB Marc Bulger and RB Steven Jackson (St. Louis) – At least the Rams scored in Week 1 – last year, the Panthers shut them out.  And I wouldn’t worry too much about Orlando Pace’s season-ending injury.  The left tackle missed half of last season, and the Rams did fine. 

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RB Maurice Jones-Drew (Jacksonville) – It was a lousy start, but at least Jones-Drew did more than Fred Taylor. 

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RB Reggie Bush (New Orleans) – Trade Chris Brown for Bush, and see who is smiling at the end of the season. 

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WR Lee Evans (Buffalo) – He got off to a slow start last season, too.  No worries.

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WRs Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona) – The Cards can’t afford to keep playing that conservatively.   

 

 

 

 

 
 
 

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