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Fantasy Football Tip Sheet

Heading into Week 7

By Richard Harris
October 16, 2007
 

The NFL’s trade deadline was today, and there were two transactions that had significant fantasy implications. 

The Dolphins traded their No. 1 receiver, Chris Chambers, to the Chargers for a second-round pick.  San Diego should immediately benefit from this move.  The Chargers’ biggest weakness was their wide receivers, and Chambers will be a big boost for that unit, though it is difficult to say if his personal numbers will increase.  My best guess is that Chambers won’t catch as many balls in San Diego because of TE Antonio Gates, but playing on a much better all-around team, he should have more scoring opportunities.   

The other significant trade was Kansas City RB Michael Bennett going to Tampa Bay for undisclosed draft picks.  Bennett, a former 1,000-yard rusher with the Vikings, should quickly move into the starting lineup for the Bucs, but given his injury history, the team would be wise to limit his workload.   

The Chiefs felt comfortable trading Bennett because Priest Holmes, who is currently on the PUP list due to a neck injury, appears to be ready to contribute.  The 34-year-old Holmes will practice this week, and he may see action as soon as this Sunday.  Of course, Larry Johnson is solidly entrenched as the starting tailback in KC, so Holmes will see limited action when he does return.   

Also eligible to come off the PUP list is Cincinnati RB Chris Perry.  When healthy, Perry has been effective as both a runner and a receiver, and he could give the Bengals’ running game a much-needed boost.  Starter Rudi Johnson continues to be bothered by a hamstring injury, and he was limited to four carries in Week 6.   

The players who were banged up in Week 6 included: RB Derrick Ward (ankle), RB Brandon Jacobs (shoulder and ankle), QB Kurt Warner (elbow), QB Vince Young (quad), RB Chris Brown (ankle), TE Bubba Franks (knee), TE Todd Heap (hamstring), TE Alex Smith (ankle), WR Drew Bennett (hamstring), TE Ben Watson (ankle), and RB Sammy Morris (chest).  Franks has a bye this week, but he may need additional time before returning.  As of now, the rest of that group is questionable/doubtful for Week 7.  Warner will likely miss one game, but the Cards are optimistic that he’ll return after their Week 8 bye. 

STOCK RISING

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RB LaDianian Tomlinson (San Diego) – He looked like the LT of old against the Raiders, and the addition of Chambers will make it more difficult for opposing defenses to focus on stopping him for the rest of the season. 

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QB Derrick Anderson (Cleveland) – How is it that the Browns didn’t realize that they had a legitimate starting QB in Anderson?  At this point in time, they have to be kicking themselves for trading their 2008 No. 1 pick for Brady Quinn.  Nevertheless, they have to be pleased with Anderson, who has passed for an average of 262 yards and 2.6 TDs per start.  

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RB Reggie Bush (New Orleans) – Bush (and the rest of the Saints offense) finally got it in gear on Sunday night against the Seahawks.  He had 141 total yards on 25 touches.  The Saints’ schedule is favorable, so look for Bush to continue to post good numbers. 

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RB Maurice Jones-Drew (Jacksonville) – Fred Taylor has been nursing a sore groin, giving Jones-Drew a chance to get into a groove.  In the past two games, the second-year pro has rushed 21 times for 207 yards and three scores and has caught seven balls for 89 yards. 

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TE Tony Gonzalez (Kansas City) – The 31-year-old tight end continues to be one of the best in the business at his position.  He has caught at least four passes in every game this season, and in the past three contests, he has caught 22 balls for 273 yards and three scores.  The Chiefs’ passing attack appears to be getting in sync, and a favorable remaining schedule should help Gonzo and company stay on a roll. 

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TE Chris Cooley (Washington) – Cooley has scored a TD in four straight games, and with both of the Redskins’ starting wideout hurting (Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle El), the fourth-year tight end caught a season-high nine balls for 105 yards against the Packers. 

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RB Jerious Norwood (Atlanta) – The Falcons need a lot of help, and one of the obvious things that they could do to add some spark to the offense is to give Norwood more touches.  The second-year pro has been far more effective than starter Warrick Dunn.  Norwood is averaging 5.7 yards per carry and 10.1 per reception.  Dunn is averaging 3.2 per carry and 4.5 per reception. 

STOCK FALLING

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QB Gus Frerotte (St. Louis) – After watching Gus throw five picks against the Ravens, the Rams are going back to Marc Bulger, who has had two weeks to recover from the broken ribs that he suffered in Week 2.  The Rams have so many injuries on the offensive side of the ball that it probably doesn’t matter who starts at quarterback. 

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QB J.P. Losman (Buffalo) – The latest word out of Buffalo is that rookie Trent Edwards will continue to start at QB even though Losman has sufficiently recovered from his knee injury to play.  

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RB Ernest Graham (Tampa Bay) – Graham has been horrendous since moving into the starting lineup, and the addition of Michael Bennett will likely lead to him returning to the bench.

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WR Vincent Jackson (San Diego) – Jackson has been up and down all season, and the addition of Chris Chambers will likely mean that he’ll see fewer balls coming his way.

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TE Alge Crumpler (Atlanta) – You can’t bitch about the game-plan when you’re botching the opportunities that are given to you.  Come talk to us when you’re not dropping balls, Alge.  In the past three games, Crumpler has caught six balls for a measly 47 yards and no scores. 

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RB DeShaun Foster (Carolina) – After a fast start, Foster has fallen on hard times.  In his past two games, he has gained just 102 yards on 36 attempts, averaging 2.8 yards per carry and scoring no touchdowns.  Talented backup DeAngelo Williams is coming off a stellar game against Arizona, and the second-year back likely earned himself a bigger role in the offense for the rest of the season.

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WR Santana Moss (Washington) – Moss had a day to forget on Sunday against the Packers.  He had no catches, and his fumble on a reverse in the third quarter was returned 57 yards for the game-winning touchdown. On the drive after he fumbled, he pulled himself out of the game after failing to catch a deep pass from quarterback Jason Campbell.  Moss’ poor performance likely had more to do with injuries than anything else.  He tweaked a hamstring during the game, and he has been nursing a sore groin since the preseason. 

BEAR MARKET

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WR Marty Booker (Miami) – With Chris Chambers gone, Booker is the only proven receiver on the Dolphins’ roster.  He’s not a game-breaker, but his numbers should be respectable and consistent for the rest of the season. 

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QB Brian Griese (Chicago) – Griese has been nearly as turnover prone as the man that he replaced (Rex Grossman), but if you’re not penalized too heavily for interceptions, he could help your fantasy team.  In three starts, Griese has averaged 294 passing yards, with a total of seven TDs and six INTs. 

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WR Kevin Walter (Houston) – Andre Johnson (knee) could be back this week, but who will start next to him?  The odds are that it will be Walter, who is not a big-play receiver but has sure hands.  In his last three games, he has caught 23 balls for 304 yards (and no scores). 

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WR David Patten (New Orleans) – Devery Henderson, who leads the league in drops with eight, and Lance Moore haven’t been overly impressive this season.  This opens the door for Patten, an 11-year veteran, to become the Saints’ No. 2 receiver.  Patten won’t have many more 100-yards games, as he did in Seattle on Sunday night, but he could be a decent backup for your fantasy squad. 

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RB Reuben Droughns (NY Giants) – With both Brandon Jacobs and Derrick Ward hurting, Droughns had a nice game on Monday night in Atlanta, rushing for 90 yards and a score on just 14 carries.  How much playing time he gets from now on will depend on the health of the other two backs, but he might be worth a shot if you’re desperate at running back. 

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RB Kevin Faulk (New England) – With New England’s top two backs nursing injuries, Faulk is in a similar position to that of Droughns.  The difference is that Faulk has never been a workhorse back, but at least with him, you know that he’ll catch some passes each game as the Pats’ primary third-down back. 

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WR Devin Hester (Chicago) – Much to the delight of Chicago fans, this extraordinary return man finally saw some action at wide receiver.  Though Hester might see his role on offense gradually increase, he probably won’t have a lot of value unless your using him in a scoring-only league that counts TDs on kick and punt returns. 

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WR Marcus Hagans (St. Louis) – The Rams have so many injuries at wide receiver that this former college quarterback from Virginia might start opposite Terry Holt this week.  Against the Ravens, Hagans caught a team-leading five balls for 74 yards.  This performance followed an excellent preseason by the second-year pro; he caught 13 balls for 166 yards and three TDs. 

IDP ALERT

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LB Michael Boley (Atlanta) – Boley, a third-year pro from Southern Miss, is currently tied with Cleveland’s D’Qwell Jackson for third in the league in tackles with 51.  Boley also has two picks and one forced fumble to his credit. 

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DB Eric Wright (Cleveland) – Teams are picking on this rookie corner quite often, giving him plenty of opportunities to make plays.  He made his first interception of the season on Sunday against the Dolphins, and he currently ranks second on the Browns with 44 stops. 

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DL Trent Cole (Philadelphia) – Cole makes a lot of tackles for a lineman (4.6 per game), and he’s tied for second in the league with six sacks.

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DB Sammy Knight (Jacksonville) – Every year, we hear that Knight is too slow, and every year, he produces.  The wily veteran leads the Jags in tackles with 36, and he also has one pick and one fumble recovery under his belt. 

STOCK MAY NEVER BE HIGHER

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QB Cleo Lemon (Miami) – Lemon’s four-TD performance on Sunday was nice, but it did come against the Browns, who rank last in the NFL for scoring defense, allowing 30.5 points per game.  Lemon might not be starting for very much longer; starter Trent Green claims that he’s healthy and itching to play.  And whoever starts at QB for Miami will no longer have the services of top wideout Chris Chambers. 

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WR Donte’ Stallworth (New England) – Tom Brady has been spreading the ball around lately, which is the QB’s MO.  As a result, Stallworth has had back-to-back productive games.  Don’t count on the wide receiver producing consistent numbers, however.  Randy Moss is clearly the No. 1 target, Wes Welker is the guy who moves the chains, and TE Ben Watson is the top red-zone option. 

STOCK MAY NEVER BE LOWER

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WR Donald Driver (Green Bay) – By far, Driver leads the Packers in receptions (36) and receiving yards (412).  However, he has caught just nine balls for 89 yards in the past two games, and he has only two TDs on the season.  The good news is that six of the Packers’ remaining 10 games will be against defenses that rank 21st or worse against the pass, including two vs. the Lions (ranked 30th) and one vs. the Vikings (ranked 32nd). 

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QB Phillip Rivers (San Diego) – Rivers has been up and down (mostly down) all season, but with LT getting into gear and Chambers joining the receiving corps, the quarterback is bound to be more productive in the second half of the season. 

A FINAL THOUGHT 

Perhaps it’s their job to sensationalize things, or perhaps they have short memories, but whatever the reason, many members of the media are going too far with the Adrian Peterson hype.  I have heard him compared to so many former great backs that my head is spinning.  Some have even gone as far as to say that he’s already the best back in the league.   

As impressive as Peterson’s performance was against the Bears (224 and 3 TDs on 20 carries), I couldn’t help but notice that the rookie had huge holes to run through.  Yes, Peterson’s speed and cutting ability allowed him to turn some of his runs into huge gains, but let’s not forget that the not-so-athletic Chester Taylor had a solid day, too, gaining 83 yards on 22 attempts.   

Peterson doesn’t remind me of Barry Sanders, Walter Payton, or Marshall Faulk, and as Dennis Green might say, “it’s too early to crown him.”  He’s a very talented back who came into the league with durability issues.  Hopefully, he won’t go the route of Carnell Williams, who set a rookie record with 438 yards in his first three pro games, and due to injuries, we haven’t heard much from Cadillac since. 

 

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